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Irrationalities, Facts, Fallacies and Perceptions "People
are afraid of flying and terrorism and bird flu when in reality the
most dangerous part of a trip is the car ride to the airport." "And the most dangerous place of all is your dinner table! " Here are some statistics of risk factors. These are for "the average American," but I assume they'd be similar (or higher) for citizens of other countries (except for the gunshot wound, of course—because of the insane number of privately-owned firearms in the USA). Basically what they show is that if you're afraid of dying from a terrorist attack, you should give up flying, swimming, boating, walking on city streets, working, skiing, being in snowy or stormy places, crossing the street and most especially driving or riding in cars, because those activities are riskier—in the case of car travel far riskier—than being anywhere near terrorists or flocks of chickens. And enjoying an unhealthy modern lifestyle, with little physical activity and meals rich in unhealthy salt, sugar, carbs and fats, is far, far more risky than anything else! Your
chance of dying from these causes is...
The
International Shark Attack File (ISAF) investigated 105 alleged
incidents of shark-human interaction occurring worldwide in 2005. Four
fatalities occurred in 2005, down from seven in 2004 (the five-year
average from 2001-2005 was 4.4 per year). ...what if security measures against terrorism were examined with a more critical eye? The risk of terrorism is not being assessed in a rational way and is receiving a disproportionate amount of resources. This can have grave consequences, probably resulting in significantly more loss of life than a major terrorist attack. Consider the risk of death from terrorism on US soil. Here are some statistics:
The total is 2928 fatalities. This has occurred over the past 15 years. Now, consider other risks. Flu deaths are estimated to be around 30,000 to 40,000 in a good year. Another 40,000 die in auto accidents each year! Terrorism is nowhere near these danger levels. On the scale of things, dying from terrorism is a very tiny risk. |
First Semester Second Semester Critical Thinking: Goals Introduction What is it? Abstract Reasoning Arguments & Claims Principles Modeling & Questions Common Concepts References *Vocabulary *Carlin Oxymorons *6 Basic Mistakes *Baloney Detection *Irrationalities,Fallacies *7 Rules Thinking Skills *Knowledge for Business *The Plan *Dangerous Ideas |